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Aussie gives up some early gains after China GDP

4/17/2017, 3:15:13 PMMarket Analysis
Aussie gives up some early gains after China GDP

The Aussie gave up some early gains on Monday China GDP for the first quarter came in better than expected and the dollar fell on a trade-weighted basis as U.S. Vice President Mike Pence headed to the ceasefire line on the Korean peninsula known as the DMZ (de-militarized zone).

AUD/USD traded at 0.7586, up 0.11% with markets in Australia shut for Easter Monday. USD/JPY changed hands at 108.26, down 0.36%.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, fell 0.21% to 100.28, nearing a five-month low.

China on Monday reported first quarter GDP rose 1.3% on the quarter compared to the same period a year ago for an annual pace of 6.9%, beating expectations for the year comparison. A poll of analysts says quarter-on-quarter up 1.6% and year-on-year GDP up 6.8%. China also reported industrial production rose 7.6% in March, compared to a 6.3% gain seen and retail sales gained 10.9% against a 9.6% rise seen.

Later, Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda speaks and India reports wholesale price inflation.

Last week, most major markets were shut for Good Friday, with the the dollar up against a basket of major currencies on Thursday, mounting a recovery from its slump in the previous session, following President Trump’s comments the currency was “getting too strong” while mostly upbeat economic data lifted sentiment.

The dollar suffered its biggest one-day slump in more than three weeks on Wednesday, after President Trump told the Wall Street Journal, he thinks the currency (dollar) is “getting too strong” and favored a low interest rate environment.
But the dollar mounted a recovery on Thursday, as investors seemed to cover short positions, ahead of the Good Friday holiday in the U.S. and Europe this week.

Trump’s comments modestly dampened expectations of a June rate hike, according to investing.com’s fed rate monitor tool, the probability of a June rate hike eased to 49.5% from 52.8%, a day earlier.

Meanwhile, slower than expected growth in initial jobless claims and bullish consumer sentiment lifted sentiment while US producer prices dropped for the first time in seven months.

The Labor Department said on Thursday, initial jobless claims fell by 1,000 to a 234,000 for the week ended April 8 while the producer price index for final demand slipped 0.1% last month. The University of Michigan said its consumer sentiment index climbed to 98.0 in April, well above expectations of a fall to 96.5.